Updates

From the lab

Papers, tools, and the occasional structural change. Longer arguments live under Research; this is the record of what shipped.

01 · Where things stand

The lab, as of 10 August 2026

Publications
20 papers — one accepted, four under review, the rest preprints. Four are on arXiv. The archive.
Latest accept
Digital Finance (Springer), 4 August — the multi-moment crypto event study, including its own null result.
Under review
AI and Ethics · Ethics and Information Technology · Computational Economics · Financial Innovation.
Running
The ASRI systemic-risk index, daily, at asri.dissensus.ai. Four tools released — the catalogue.
Open to collaborators
Six projects, published with what is missing rather than what is finished. The records · tasks by size.
The group
Two researchers and one affiliate in London. No funding yet, and therefore no paid positions — stated plainly on Join.
02 · Posts

What shipped

Dissensus is now an IASEAI affiliate

Accepted into the affiliate network of the International Association for Safe and Ethical AI, listed alongside MIRI, METR, FAR.AI and MATS Research — with a plain account of what affiliation does not mean.

Two additions, and a plainer open door

Helena Dye joins as operations associate, a standing partnership with the Sineidocracia movement, and a clearer account of how to work with the lab — at any capacity, as an individual or as another group.

Accepted at Digital Finance

Multi-moment crypto event study: directional under curation, not distinguishable from zero under dependence-robust inference. A self-correction that survived peer review.

Dissensus Ltd: the lab has a legal shape

Dissensus is incorporated as a private limited company in England and Wales; the research stays open.

The Trident: three ways a claim fails, counted properly

A pocket-sized diagnostic for single claims, a Lean 4 core that checks the count, and a framework that failed its own test and printed the repair.

The Born Rule, Demodulated

Notes on a speculative preprint: measurement as finite-window demodulation plus threshold detection, and the square in |ψ|² as the signature of an energy detector.

Everything here also goes out by RSS.